Blog

Apr 1, 2026

Prediction Markets Legal Tracker: March 2026

March 2026 may prove to be the month when prediction markets stopped looking like a fast-growing niche and started looking like a full legal category under pressure from every direction at once. Federal rulemaking, staff advisories, state lawsuits, criminal charges, and new legislative proposals are now converging on the same question: what kind of prediction market will be allowed to survive.

Read more →

Mar 27, 2026

Venue Risk: You Are Not Only Trading the Event

Prediction markets are often sold as clean bets on future outcomes. In reality, you are rarely trading the event alone. You are also trading the legal durability of the venue, the stability of your access, the strength of the platform's jurisdictional position, and the probability that the market will still function the same way when you need it most.

Read more →

Mar 22, 2026

Polymarket's Two-Front Reality: U.S. Comeback, European Blocks, and the New Jurisdiction Standard

Polymarket is no longer just an offshore platform under pressure or a comeback story in the United States. It is now something more important for the whole sector: a live example of how prediction markets are being split by jurisdiction, legal entity, and compliance architecture.

Read more →

Mar 20, 2026

CFTC Rulemaking 2026: The First Real Blueprint for Prediction Markets

Prediction markets are no longer being shaped only by lawsuits, state attacks, or platform growth headlines. The CFTC has now opened a formal rulemaking process that could define what belongs on these markets, how they must be supervised, and what responsible participation should actually mean.

Read more →

Mar 17, 2026

The Regulatory Reckoning: Why Polymarket, Kalshi, and the CFTC Are Forcing a New Market Standard

Prediction markets are no longer split between a regulated future and an offshore present. Polymarket, Kalshi, and the CFTC are now forcing the same conclusion: scale requires a real standard for jurisdiction, market design, surveillance, and trader protection.

Read more →

Mar 25, 2026

The Responsible Listing Standard: Which Markets Should Never Be Listed

Prediction markets do not fail only when they are manipulated. They also fail when the contract itself is structurally indefensible from the moment it is listed. A responsible market standard must identify not only how trading should be supervised, but which market designs should never be offered at all.

Read more →